Segmentation: The Value is in the Variance
If you are a pricer, marketer, or are in the market for a pricing optimization solution, you have surely heard about “segmentation” and probably have some questions about exactly how it will help you do your job better. I’d like to share some insight from a high-level perspective of how this can help.
Even before the time of the Assyrians, people were segmenting their customers, trying to determine what they would be willing to pay for a particular good. However, we have moved from local markets, where a trader may know all of his or her customers, into today’s varied markets, where businesses may have thousands to tens of thousands of customers. How can a business know each of these customers’ willingness-to-pay for each product they have to sell?
There are many ways of estimating this willingness-to-pay. Most companies have some sort of a “marketing” segmentation, derived through common sense ideas about their product and its value to a particular customer set as well as analyses of customer groups, often via focus groups or survey-based methods. While these methods are good, they suffer from two basic problems: the segments tend to be large, and if a survey method is used, it is subject to interpretation or bias.
Scientific segmentation uses facts that exist in a business’ data to generate micro-segments and isolate small groups of customers, products, and transaction sets (including channels) who have similar willingness-to-pay. The data sets can be entirely historical or include some evaluation of future demand, but they are based on real world data. The challenge is to identify segments such that they are small enough to meaningfully identify willingness to pay but large enough to still contain variance in the data, for the value in segmentation is in the variance: identifying which customers are UNDERPERFORMING their peer group and correcting prices to those customers.
The segmentation process uses attributes to create these micro-segments that often go far beyond what are considered in marketing segments. For example, in the much sought after “25 to 40 year old single male” market segment that many consumer electronics companies target, chances are that a particular customer’s willingness to pay depends on many more factors than his age, gender, and marital status. Including additional attributes such as income level, geographic location, and others starts to get a better picture.
The end result is a segmentation of your customers, products, and/or transaction types – whatever is appropriate for your business. These segments can help you identify a multitude of things: what price to charge for a given transaction, what terms should be on a contract, what products to bundle together, or even what products to offer at all. Having a granular approach to segmentation along with a process for implementing pricing decisions influenced by these segments can dramatically increase a company’s profitability.